The best overall regulation the U. S. could impose is to limit the size of every financial institution so that the possibility of out right failure guides every actor.
Wednesday, January 30, 2013
Lanny had to resign
After the Frontline "Untouchable" program last week I don't think Lanny Breuer had any other choice.
Sunday, January 27, 2013
The Untouchables
PBS Frontline has done a good job of reporting on the financial crisis. Their latest, The Untouchables, gives a very clear view of how regulation does not replace fear of failure in the marketplace. The Justice Department showed a prosecutorial cowardice and diffidence to make a case necessary to enforce rules and regulations against those who can afford even stronger defense teams. When there is no money in the bank it's tough to hire a such a team. Citigroup management got plenty of internal warnings that something that could jeopardize the bank's very existence was in effect. Without a bail out Citi would have gone under and justice done. In this case persuasive influence gave the taxpayer the bullet and management title to their ill gotten bonuses.
Thankfully the private sector has civil recourse where the legal teams opposing the banks are more capable than the quintessential government bureaucrat, Lanny Breuer.
Thankfully the private sector has civil recourse where the legal teams opposing the banks are more capable than the quintessential government bureaucrat, Lanny Breuer.
Sunday, January 20, 2013
After the Music Stopped
I am looking forward to Alan Blinder's new book which I believe will have parts of right on agreement and vehement disagreement for me.
Sunday, January 13, 2013
High Speed Trading
Again back to Warren Buffet who considers his share holders as partners in a business. He does not split the shares of his company because he values long term investors who do not trade in or out of their shares in Berkshire Hathaway. If it was just individual stocks being traded then I doubt the need, but in a world of artificial instruments (ETFS) and mutual funds the high speed trades arbitrage the differences away quickly and the expense of it all is a testament to the friction costs by which Wall Street lives by. In Warren's world a round lot investment of ten shares is worth 1.3 million dollars. A brokerage firm may make a thousand dollars on that transaction which is in the order of one tenth of one percent commission. Not much to fund the hardware and quants necessary for a high speed stock trading operation.
Monday, January 7, 2013
Friction Costs
I have been a long time follower of Warren Buffet and Berkshire Hathaway and a quick read of Tap Dancing to Work shows me how I developed the concept of investment banker's playing with themselves and frittering away investor capital.
Sunday, December 2, 2012
Begging for Alms
Watching
Meet the Press this Sunday and I am presented with a feel good
Citigroup ad directed at opinion makers. It's a desperate tug at the
heart strings from a wounded corporation seeking more government
favor. There are pieces of Citigroup that can stand on their own and
there others that just suck the life blood out of those that have
any left. Bernanke and Geither have studied the Japanese economic
morass of the last twenty five years, and one conclusion they seemed
to have agreed upon was that Japan was too kind to their banks. It's
time to rip Citigroup apart because in their present state they are a
leech on the economy. When the next crisis comes we can depend on
their need for further help and certainly not to be of help. And
finally and most importantly it is important to show a hard edge
where failure is allowed to over come what in crisis was determined
to be a too big to fail bank, but now that the crisis is working
towards resolution can be sold off in pieces in an FDIC manner. The
country is over banked, especially investment Banks. At one point I
believe finance represented 20% of GDP. I think no more than half
that would be healthy for the economy. Let's start by chopping
Citigroup apart.
Sunday, November 25, 2012
Bull by the Horns
Early
in the financial crisis I recall the economist Simon Johnson
describing the FDIC as a very effective and economical tool to
resolve the perilous state of the financial system. It caused me to
consider Sheila Bair, the former head of the FDIC, and her actions
in a different light from what up to then was a predisposition to
less regulation. FED Chairman Alan Greenspan's tenure was a disaster
in spite of his Ayn Rand libertarian philosophical predilection
because he forgot that free markets do not work as described by Adam
Smith in a system spiraling toward concentration of economic power.
The mix of government intervention and laissez faire economics is
particularly noxious, and Alan presided over a witches brew that as a
Libertarian I will not forgive.
Sheila
Bair has a clear view how government guarantee's require private
equity be completely at risk when reckless management puts a company
in a difficult position. She understands how those who play prudently
expect to prevail when others fail and how it is resented it does not
happen because special favors are called. It appears from her book,
Bull by the Horns, that Tim Geithner is Mr. Moral Hazard and
that his tenure as Secretary of the Treasury has been a huge drag on
the Obama administration. The AIG bonus debacle in the spring of the
term, the laughable disrespect given by Wall Street Banker's that
summer and the general public outrage over bailouts for fat cats over
the years was the genesis of the Tea Party on the right and Occupy
Wall Street on the left. That Obama was re-elected has more to do
great electioneering than developing a mandate.
As
a Libertarian I resent that neither side understood that the mandate
from the beginning is to be a Teddy Roosevelt style Trust Buster.
Punish with ruin the reckless goliath's in finance for the havoc they reeked on our
citizens. Obama could really set a proper course for his
second term by nominating Sheila Bair as his new Secretary of the
Treasury. While she is a regulator at heart she understand's how to
protect the public purse and authority. Secondly, now that the market is less stressed, will someone go out and rip Citigroup apart. It has no right to exist as presently constructed and it would do a lot of good to set the possibility of failing even though it is big.
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